Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
March 28, 2012
In centuries past, there have been many wars fought to bring Europe under one economic and political union. the Napoleonic Empire, the Prussian Empire, the Third Reich, and even the Ottoman Empire further to the east ultimately failed to achieve this goal. Today, in many ways, Europe is engaged in ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
December 31, 2011
There is an old proverb that describes three methods of gaining wisdom: "First, by reflection, which is noblest; second, by imitation, which is easiest; and third, by experience, which is bitterest." At year-end, many of us turn to the nobility of reflection in hopes of gleaning wisdom for the new ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
November 03, 2011
When Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve, emerges from his meetings with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), he addresses the media in that most Delphic of dialects—“Fedspeak.” Like any good central banker, he is careful to preach the piety of price stability. Even if he believed that more ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
September 06, 2011
“Keep Calm and Carry On.” Five words, six syllables, printed 2.5 million times as Britain prepared for World War II—precisely 72 years ago this month. The now iconic red and white posters were designed by the British Ministry of Information. Their purpose: to harden citizens’ resolve during unprecedented conflict in ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
July 29, 2011
In the early 1950s, an American social psychologist named Leon Festinger conducted an experiment that may provide valuable insight into Europe's current troubles. Download PDF He encountered a local religious cult that believed UFOs were coming to rescue them from a cataclysmic flood that would destroy the earth. Festinger infiltrated ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
May 20, 2011
In 1958, Harvard economist John Kenneth Galbraith was looking for a term to describe certain ideas that were commonly held, intellectually accessible, and yet fundamentally flawed. To define such widely spread misconceptions Galbraith wrote: “I shall refer to these ideas henceforth as the conventional wisdom.” Download PDF As an asset ...
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Quarterly Investment Focus
By
Scott Minerd
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March 31, 2011
Each quarter Guggenheim Partners selects an investment theme, asset class or sector to highlight. In this issue of the Guggenheim Investment Focus, we offer our macro-perspectives on why we believe U.S. equities are well-positioned to sustain the current bull market advance for an extended period of time. Overall, we believe ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
March 31, 2011
(This article is an excerpt from Guggenheim’s Investment Focus research report titled “Equity Macro-Themes.” Please click here to view the entire report.) In the years leading up to the recent financial crisis, I gained a reputation for being permanently bearish. As I shared my macro-economic outlook with clients in ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
March 01, 2011
The democratic movement erupting across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) reminds me of the historic political changes that occurred the early 1990s when the Berlin Wall fell, the Cold War ended, and a series of revolutionary events led to the dissolution of the Soviet Empire. Download PDF When ...
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Market Perspectives
By
Scott Minerd
|
January 18, 2011
In antiquity, there is a curious story of a Phygrian king named Gordias who tied his ox cart to a pole as a sign of gratitude to the gods. To ensure that it could never be removed, he secured the cart with a massive knot made from a bark that ...
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